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In my reality, there is a cost associated with changing horses in the middle of the stream.
A mediocre plan executed with vigor and intelligence is better than a great plan implemented halfway through the effort.
Ferdinand Fournies in his book Coaching for Improved Work Performance makes the point that it is rarely economically justified to fire an employee who is probably capable of doing the required work and replacing him with a new employee who might be able to do the work.
Mr Fournies makes the point that an employee's pay-rate is related to the complexity of the job and upon how easy it is to find a plug-and-play replacement.
Brain surgeons get paid more than guys pushing sand in wheelbarrows.
Mr Fournies then makes the point that every employee, no matter how highly touted or how gold-plated their credentials, goes through a learning curve where the enterprise loses money. The lost money might be explicit in terms of lost production or it might be in the form of opportunity costs.
Mr Fournies contends that cost might be as much as one year's wages by the time you also factor in the cost of the recruiting effort and the productivity lost due to the disruptions in the routines of staff involved in training the newbie.
Mr Fournies' point is that unless you are willing to go to the bean counters and prove why replacing Joe Slacker with Johnny Jumpup is worth a year's wages, you are ahead of the game to invest in improving Joe Slacker.
He has the usual caveats. If Slacker is stealing from the company, call the cops, file charges and fire him. You have to replace him because he cannot do the job from jail.
Covid-19
Covid-19 is this generations Pearl Harbor event.
Joe Biden will lose unless he can provide evidence in the form of public statements, published position statements or policy papers where he was consistently AHEAD of Donald J. Trump's response to the pandemic.
This isn't Fantasy Football. We don't have to look at hypotheticals. We have the Super Bowl play out before our eyes.
Don't tell me how smart you are the day after the whistle blows. Show me what you have RIGHT NOW.
Donald J Trump will win if he keeps hammering that point. All of Biden's comments regarding Covid-19 have been after-the-fact sniping. Donald J Trump could easily lose if lets himself get knocked off that topic.
I hope the American electorate understands the cost of firing somebody, in this case, Donald Trump.
Fauci
In spite of Trump's trademark "You're Fired!", Trump has been loath to fire Dr Anthony Fauci.
Trump is acting as if he understands the costs of switching horses in the middle of the stream.
I think Fauci and Trump have a deal.
I think Fauci will leave once the worst of the pandemic is behind us. He will write a book and get a $50 million retainer.


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